Palos Verdes Real Estate Market Trends

Palos Verdes real estate market trends could be wrong if you’re not getting the information from the right source!

NAR’s Existing Home Inventory Number is Wrong

Here’s a surprise for you, the National Association of Realtors doesn’t know how many homes are for sale. Yesterday’s existing home sales announcement included NAR’s estimate that there are 2.2 million homes for sale. The data shows that it’s overstated by a third.

There are actually approximately 1.7 million homes on the market (active inventory) right now.

Palos Verdes Real Estate Market Trends

Altos Research (I provide this as a free customer service to my clients) tracks homes for sale in the 900 most populous counties (colored blue above) around the US. The Palos Verdes real estate market trends I provide cover not only the cities of Palos Verdes Estates, Rolling Hills, Rancho Palos Verdes, Rolling Hills Estates and the unincorporated area of Palos Verdes Peninsula, but the Palos Verdes real estate market trends service also covers palos verdes real estate market trendsthe Beach Cities and South Torrance (90505 and 90503 zip codes)

NAR doesn’t disclose precisely the methodology they use, but their data is sourced from participating MLS organizations. Palos Verdes real estate market trends that you find on many of the public portals, are obtaining their data from MLS sources. NAR’s estimates are influenced by the reporting structure in those member associations. Incidentally, Realtor.com claims to have 4.7 million homes for sale, but that’s clearly a meaningless marketing number (more is better, right?) It includes duplicates, empty land, and other flotsam. Disregard that number.

The truth is that all these numbers are estimates. The best way to know for sure is to count them all.

When Altos counts the data, including that for the Palos Verdes real estate market trends and adjust for those counties, the total is closer to 1.7 million. (Altos Research covers 90 million residential homes in all 50 states. It’s not *everything* but the rest is very rural, so it’s really useful, see map.)

Why are they over estimating? No, it’s not because the scoundrels are trying to trick you. My guess is that some of these estimates include properties that already have offers. The number properties in “pending” state can be as high as 100% of the active inventory in many markets this year. As listings get offers quickly, then take a month or more before the transaction closes, these properties sit in pending state. The hottest markets this is most true, for example Las Vegas and San Diego have had screaming demand and price appreciation this year. They have huge stocks of properties “pending”. Different regions give different labels to the condition, but the result is the same. The sale hasn’t “closed” so the listing is technically active. But the property really isn’t for sale any more. Is that active inventory? Our take is that these are not active. If you’re shopping for a home in that market, your Realtor isn’t going to show you a house that is already in some stage of contract with another buyer.

The lesson, as always, is read the headlines with a critical eye. And here is where you can sign up if you want the full scoop on the active housing inventory every week. This report includes supply/demand trends, inventory levels, sale rates and more. So in conclusion, if you want accuracy in learning what the Palos Verdes real estate market trends are so that you can more intelligently plan for how you offer on one of the Palos Verdes homes for sale, or if you own one of the wonderful Palos Verdes homes and are thinking of selling, my Palos Verdes Real Estate Market Trends reports are your source – and it’s free; I pay the subscription fee for you.

Subscribe here: http://www.homeispalosverdes.com/altos-research-for-palos-verdes-homes-south-bay-real-estate/

 

Find out more about Palos Verdes Real Estate Market Trends by using the “Market Trends” icon in the LifeStyle SpatialMatch™ Map Search below If you do not see the map, go to this site for original content http://www.homeispalosverdes.com/palos-verdes-real-estate-market-trends/

 

 

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Palos Verdes Home Prices

Palos Verdes home prices are trending up.  But this article published by doesn’t get the whole story, in fact I think they’re missing more than half the point.  Sure, interest rates being as low as they are clearly help home sales.

But when they report "Tim Iacano of Iacano Research credits the majority of the recovery and rise in home prices—if not all of it—to the Federal Reserve’s aggressive actions to keep mortgage rates low. The Fed’s quantitative easing (QE) program has prompted mortgage rates to fall to all-time lows in recent weeks.” they are missing a critically important law of economics.  They don’t even talk about the issue SUPPLY & DEMAND. 

Interest rates are so low, that even if they were to go up 1-2 percent, they would still be incredibly low relative to decades long historical standards.  So it can’t be that low interest rates are sole driver let alone major contributor as Mr. Iacano would have us believe.  While I can’t speak for a national real estate market, I can certainly provide you hard fact documentation on Palos Verdes home prices and what is happening with the supply & demand dynamic for Palos Verdes homes as well as for the Greater South Bay area.

Let’s take a look at what’s happening. Palos Verdes Home Prices trends are patterning this chart on the South Bay

You can email me for a larger copy of this chart if you wish.  The red trend line shows the volume of Pending Sales going back to May of 1990 (yes, I keep track), the blue line tracks the New Listing Volume.  Think of Pending Sale Volume as a measure of demand and think of New Listing Volume as a measure of supply.  Clearly, it’s starkly evident, the number of new listings coming to market is the lowest it’s been in nearly 20 years!  At the same time that supplies have been dropping of Palos Verdes homes and other homes around the South Bay, demand has been picking up. 

We all know what happens when people want more of something, but that something is less and less available.  And as you can see by green line, prices indeed have been firming, in fact they’ve been going up.

Visit this link to get more information on .

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Palos Verdes Real Estate Supply & Demand Trends for December 2012

imageThe latest information on Palos Verdes real estate trends is GOOD.  Market data is showing that the supplies of homes are down and demand is up.

This trend of month over month improvement in the supply demand dynamics strongly suggests an improving real estate market.

Are you interested in learning more about:

  • What are the specific trends in your neighborhood for Palos Verdes homes (or whatever South Bay market you’re in)?
  • How would the market value your home in today’s improving Palos Verdes real estate market?

Just send me an email or give me a call, and I will get on it for you!

Palos Verdes Real Estate Trends Improving

for a larger view of this chart, please visit http://www.palosverdesrealestatetransactionreport.com/

From 277 days of unsold inventory in the South Bay area (including Palos Verdes homes) to 189 days in one year, is a huge improvement in the market!  That’s a 32% increase in the South Bay & Palos Verdes real estate market’s ability to absorb inventory through sale activity.  So the question is … supplies down, demand up, what do YOU think that does to prices?

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3.8% ObamaTax for Palos Verdes Real Estate?

There are a bunch of emails floating around out there that included within the new ObamaTax-icare System is a 3.8% tax on the sale price of your home.  While we can disagree on the merits of ObamaCare (I for one am strongly against it) we must get the facts right.  It is not true that there is a 3.8% tax on the sale price of your home … HERE ARE THE FACTS … image

Origins: One of the provisions in the reconciliation bill (HR 4872) passed in conjunction with the Patient Protection Affordable Care Act (PPACA) health care legislation calls for high-income households to be subject to a new 3.8% Medicare tax on investment income starting in 2013:

The PPACA creates a new Code Section 1411, which will generally impose a 3.8 percent tax on the lesser of “net investment income” or the excess of modified adjusted gross income over a “threshold amount” (generally, $250,000 for taxpayers filing a joint return, $125,000 for married taxpayers filing a separate return and $200,000 in all other cases). Net investment income generally means the excess of (i) interest, dividends, annuities, royalties, rents, income from passive activities, income from trading financial instruments and commodities, and gain from the disposition of certain non-business property, over (ii) allowable deductions properly allocable to such income. In determining the amount of net investment income, special rules apply with respect to dispositions of equity interests in certain partnerships and S corporations, and to distributions from certain qualified plans. This additional tax applies to taxable years beginning after December 31, 2012.

This is a complicated section of a complicated piece of legislation, and the 3.8% Medicare tax has been frequently misreported as amounting to a 3.8% “sales tax” on all real estate transactions. This is incorrect: the Medicare tax is not a sales tax, nor does it apply to all real estate transactions; it is a tax on investment income (income which may or not derive from the sale of property) only for persons who earn more than the amounts specified in the bill.

imageFirst of all, the Medicare tax will be imposed only on individuals with an income above $200,000 and couples with a joint income more than $250,000, a figure which currently excludes about 97% of all U.S. households. Second, the tax will not be assessed on every house sale, but only on real estate transactions that produce profits over a specified dollar amount. As Sara Orrange, Government affairs director of the Spokane Association of Realtors noted in response to a repetition of the “sales tax” rumor in the Spokane Spokesman-Review:

In his recent guest column regarding the impact of the health care bill, Paul Guppy of the Washington Policy Center claimed that a 3.8 percent tax on all home sales was a part of the recently passed legislation. This is inaccurate and needs to be corrected. The truth about the bill is that if you sell your home for a profit above the capital gains threshold of $250,000 per individual or $500,000 per couple then you would be required to pay the additional 3.8 percent tax on any gain realized over this threshold.  Most people who sell their homes will not be impacted by these new regulations. This is not a new tax on every seller, and that correction needs to be made. This tax is aimed at so-called “high earners” — if you do not fall into that category you will not pay any extra taxes upon the sale of your home.


For example, let’s assume that a couple with an income of $325,000 bought a house in 2004 for $300,000 and resold it in 2013 for $850,000, thus producing a $550,000 profit. Since U.S. law allows a couple to exclude from their gross income profits of up to $500,000 from the sale of their principal residence, the taxable gain from this sale would be $50,000 (i.e., a $550,000 profit minus the $500,000 exclusion), and the couple’s taxable income would now be $375,000 (i.e., the original $325,000 plus the $50,000 of taxable profit from their home sale). The 3.8% Medicare tax would now apply to whichever of the following dollar figures is the lesser:

a) The amount by which the couple’s taxable income now exceeds the $250,000 income threshold level.

b) The amount of taxable income gained from the sale of their home.
In case (a), the dollar figure would be the couple’s taxable income ($375,000) minus the income threshold level ($250,000), or $125,000.

In case (b), the dollar figure would be amount of taxable income gained from the sale of their home, which, as detailed above, was $50,000 (i.e., $550,000 profit minus the $500,000 exclusion).

The second dollar amount is the lesser of the two, and therefore the couple would have to pay an additional tax of 3.8 percent of $50,000, which would amount to $1,900. (If the hypothetical couple had realized less than a $500,000 profit on the sale of their residence, none of that gain would be subject to the 3.8% tax.)

The referenced tax is therefore not a tax on all real estate sales; it is an investment income tax which could result in a very small percentage of home sellers paying additional taxes on home sales profits over a designated threshold amount. In short, if you’re a “high earner” and you sell your home at a substantial profit, you might be required to pay an additional 3.8% tax. However, given that only about 3% of U.S. households have incomes that exceed the specified income threshold amount, the existing home sale capital gains exclusion on a principal residence ($250,000 for individuals, $500,000 for couples) still stands, and the national median existing-home price in January 2012 was only $154,700 , the Medicare tax will likely affect only a very small percentage of home sellers when it is implemented in 2013.

 

The 3.8% Tax: Real Estate Scenarios & Examples (National Association of Realtors)

So whether you are going to have a tax liability or not, and please do consult with your accountant to verify all the information above, the fact remains, what’s the single best way to get the highest price for the sale of your home?  The answer is simple – “Marketing 101” as they say, and that’s to have the greatest number of buyers competing for your home.  But, that begs the next question, right?  “How do I do that?!”  It’s all about the internet folks.  Take this example on how I was able to get a record breaking price in a down market for a Palos Verdes home

This article was originally posted here: http://realestatemarbles.com/homeispalosverdes/2012/07/06/palos-verdes-estates-real-estate-question-3-8-obamatax/
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George Fotion
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Something to do in Palos Verdes this Summer!

Something to do in Palos Verdes this Summer!

Concert Series At Terranea

Summer is almost here! That means tons of fun in the sun and live music at Nelson’s! Join us at Terranea’s oceanfront gastropub, Nelson’s, for their Summer Concert Series kick off event happening May 25th.

Check out the 2012 line-up below:

Nelson’s Summer Concert Series 2012 Line Up:

May 25th The Repeat Offenders with Food From the Sausage Kitchen
May 26th Wise 100 Doors with South of the Border Food
May 27th Paul Lemire with a O Sol Mio Taste
June 1st Pet the Dog with Taste of Savannah Food
June 2nd Steel Rod with Bourbon Street Seafood
June 8th The Repeat Offenders with South of the Border Food
June 9th Wise 100 Doors with Mongolian BBQ
June 15th Pet the Dog with a Taste of India
June 16th Steel Rod with a O Sol Mio Taste
June 17th Paul Lemire with All American Food
June 22nd The Repeat Offenders with Taste of Savannah Food
June 23rd Wise 100 Doors with Mongolian BBQ
June 29th Steel Rod with Bourbon Street Seafood
June 30th Paul Lemire with Food From the Sausage Kitchen
July 6th The Repeat Offenders with a O Sol Mio Taste
July 7th Steel Rod With All American Food
July 13th Pet the Dog with South of the Border Food
July 14th Paul Lemire with Food From the Sausage Kitchen
July 20th The Repeat Offenders with a Taste of India
July 21st Steel Rod With All American Food
July 27th Paul Lemire with South of the Border Food
July 28th Wise 100 Doors with Mongolian BBQ
August 3rd The Repeat Offenders with Taste of Savannah Food
August 4th Steel Rod With All American Food
August 10th Wise 100 Doors with Bourbon Street Seafood
August 11th Paul Lemire with Food From the Sausage Kitchen
August17th The Repeat Offenders with a Taste of India
August 18th Steel Rod with All American Food
August 24th Paul Lemire with a O Sol Mio Taste
August 25th Wise 100 Doors with Mongolian BBQ
August 31st The Repeat Offenders with South of the Border Food
September 1st Wise 100 Doors with Taste of Savannah Food
September 2nd Paul Lemire with Bourbon Street Seafood

All buffets will be from 5pm-9pm. There are three holiday buffets on Sundays. They include Memorial Day, Fathers Day and Labor Day

Sausage Kitchen $19 * Taste of India $26 * All American $24 * O Sol Mi $24 * Mongolian BBQ $24 * South of the Border $19 * Taste of Savannah $24 * Bourbon Street Seafood $26

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Coming Soon to Lunada Bay in Palos Verdes Estates

Coming Soon To Lower Lunada Bay

Palos Verdes Estates Homes for Sale

  • Price Range: $2,500,000 – $3,000,000
  • Lot Size: Over 1/2 acre (flat useable land)
  • Location: west of Paseo del Mar!
  • Home Size: Over 4500sqft and 1 level
  • Amenities: Pool & Paddle Tennis Court
  • Click picture below for more information
  • Scroll below picture to get a bonus!

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George Fotion
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Palos Verdes Homes; Polling Places

Palos Verdes Homes; find your Polling Location

Very timely, brief but informative article in Palos Verdes Patch todayimage

As Tuesday’s election nears, it’s time for voters to prepare.

The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk has a helpful website for voters to find their local polling place. Visitors also can select a party preference to get a sample ballot.

Polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Tuesday.

In addition to the presidential primary, voters will weigh in on a U.S. Senate candidate and two statewide ballot measures. If passed, Proposition 29 would add a $1 tax to cigarette to fund cancer research. Prop. 28 would put a 12-year term limit on lawmakers in the state Legislature. A politician currently can serve in office for 14 years.

 
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Home Prices in Palos Verdes Estates, CA

Palos Verdes Estates Homes Transactions Report (LIVE)

 

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WHAT IS THE “MEDIAN MAI”?  Send me an email, and I will explain the significance of this proprietary object algorithm.  And if you want the charts on other communities around the South Bay … just send an email to george.fotion@homeispalosverdes.com

Search for Palos Verdes Homes here …

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Palos Verdes Homes sell better with interactive tools

Selling a Home in Palos Verdes CA is helped by using Interactive Tools

When selling Palos Verdes real estate, the goal is to get more buyers interested in the home so that what is created is more competition and with that increased competition, a faster sale at a higher price results. 

 

One way to do this is to create an interactive floor plan that allows Buyers an easier way to envision themselves living in the home.  Here’s an example.  You can click on the the pictures below to be taken to the tour site of this home, then click on the “Space Designer” tab you will see at the bottom of the page that comes up.

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Palos Verdes Real Estate Trends

March Pending Home Sales Rise

Market Recovering WASHINGTON (April 26, 2012) –
Pending home sales increased in March and are well above a year ago, another signal the housing market is recovering, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 4.1 percent to 101.4 in March from an upwardly revised 97.4 in February and is 12.8 percent above March 2011 when it was 89.9. The data reflects contracts but not closings.

The index is now at the highest level since April 2010 when it reached 111.3. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said 2012 is expected to be a year of recovery for housing. “First quarter sales closings were the highest first quarter sales in five years. The latest contract signing activity suggests the second quarter will be equally good,” he said. “The housing market has clearly turned the corner. Rising sales are bringing down inventory and creating much more balanced conditions around the county, which means home prices will be rising in more areas as the year progresses,” Yun said.

The PHSI in the Northeast slipped 0.8 percent to 78.2 in March but is 21.1 percent above March 2011. In the Midwest the index declined 0.9 percent to 93.3 but is 16.9 percent higher than a year ago. Pending home sales in the South rose 5.9 percent to an index of 114.1 in March and are 10.6 percent above March 2011. In the West the index increased 8.7 percent in March to 108.0 and is 9.0 percent above a year ago. The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

Watch the video and continue below to see what’s happening with sale volume in the South Bay and Palos Verdes areas of California

 

So what is happening locally in the Palos Verdes areas? To get all of my proprietary trend charts, go here Palos Verdes Real Estate Trends, South Bay Real Estate Trends

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For more information on homes for sale in Palos Verdes, Palos Verdes real estate, palos verdes homes for sale, palos verdes foreclosures, palos verdes real estate market information as well as quality information on homes for sale in Rancho Palos Verdes, Palos Verdes Estates homes for sale, Manhattan Beach real estate, Hermosa Beach real estate, Redondo Beach real estate, Torrance real estate, Palos Verdes real estate trends, and real estate trends throughout the Beach Cities, Palos Verdes Estates and the South Bay, visit www.homeispalosverdes.com 

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George Fotion
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